My Account Log Out

reorder

Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Travis Etienne Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+118/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars rank as the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 50.4% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be much more involved in his offense's running game near the end zone this week (54.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.5% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-least TDs in the league (0.57 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense this year.

The Denver Broncos defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

More Travis Etienne Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™