Travis Etienne Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing TD

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-441).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -419 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -441.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 44.7% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most TDs in the league (1.25 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
Travis Etienne has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among RBs (1st percentile).
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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