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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-971).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -814 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -971.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 46.4% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most TDs in the league (1.10 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on just 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 58.0 plays per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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