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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack near the goal line this week (63.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (47.2% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

The New York Jets defensive tackles project as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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