Travis Etienne Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing TD

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-173).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -173.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars rank as the 8th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 49.8% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone this week (71.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.7% in games he has played).
Travis Etienne has rushed for 0.36 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (81st percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in the NFL (1.55 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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