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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.
  • Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to accrue 4.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Travis Etienne's 48.1% Route% this season represents a meaningful regression in his air attack usage over last season's 58.5% rate.
  • Travis Etienne's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 86.9% to 78.8%.

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