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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -157.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars will be rolling with backup quarterback Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Jacksonville O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.6%) to running backs this year (86.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 52.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Travis Etienne has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (44.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (58.5%).

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