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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to accumulate 4.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

The Jacksonville O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Travis Etienne has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (44.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (58.5%).

Travis Etienne's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 3.4 rate.

Travis Etienne's 72.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 86.9% figure.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.9%) vs. running backs this year (73.9%).

The Houston defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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