Travis Etienne Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-177/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
Travis Etienne has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (63.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (48.8%).
The model projects Travis Etienne to notch 4.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The Jaguars O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Travis Etienne has been among the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.3 receptions per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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