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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB C.J. Beathard.

The Jaguars rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 65.5% pass rate.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.82 seconds per snap, the model projects the Jaguars as the 10th-quickest in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.

The model projects Travis Etienne to notch 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Travis Etienne's 16.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 11.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.6%) vs. running backs this year (74.6%).

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Carolina's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the league.

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