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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to accrue 4.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

When it comes to air yards, Travis Etienne grades out in the towering 78th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a remarkable 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

Travis Etienne's 48.1% Route% this season represents a meaningful regression in his air attack usage over last season's 58.5% rate.

Travis Etienne's 15.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 27.0 rate.

Travis Etienne's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 86.9% to 78.8%.

Travis Etienne's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 4.37 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.96 rate last year.

More Travis Etienne Player Props

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