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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to accumulate 4.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

When talking about air yards, Travis Etienne grades out in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a superb 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

The Jacksonville O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Travis Etienne has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (44.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (58.5%).

Travis Etienne has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

Travis Etienne's 72.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 86.9% figure.

Travis Etienne's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a measly 3.34 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.95 figure last season.

Travis Etienne's 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a noteworthy regression in his effectiveness in space over last year's 9.0% figure.

More Travis Etienne Player Props

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