Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 61.7% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Travis Etienne has been more involved as a potential target this year (65.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (48.8%).
In this week's game, Travis Etienne is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to air yards, Travis Etienne ranks in the paltry 15th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.
Travis Etienne's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a a material reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 7.3 rate.
The Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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