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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
  • Travis Etienne has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (63.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (48.8%).
  • The model projects Travis Etienne to notch 4.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • The Jaguars O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Travis Etienne has been among the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 20.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • As it relates to air yards, Travis Etienne ranks in just the 13th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.
  • The Falcons defense has surrendered the 6th-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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