Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
Travis Etienne has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (63.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (48.8%).
The model projects Travis Etienne to notch 4.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The Jaguars O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Travis Etienne has been among the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 20.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
As it relates to air yards, Travis Etienne ranks in just the 13th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.
The Falcons defense has surrendered the 6th-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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