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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The model projects Travis Etienne to earn 3.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Travis Etienne's 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 11.4.

Travis Etienne's 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a substantial progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 18.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projection model to run 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

Travis Etienne has totaled a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 7th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Titans defense has yielded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) to running backs this year.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77%) to RBs this year (77.0%).

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