Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 46.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to accrue 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has put up a colossal 5.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

Travis Etienne has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching just 73.9% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.