Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 49.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Travis Etienne has notched a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown good efficiency against RBs this year, conceding 5.52 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the league.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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