Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Jaguars have been the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.69 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 50.1% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Travis Etienne has accumulated a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among running backs.
The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (75.7%) versus RBs this year (75.7%).
The Houston Texans pass defense has shown good efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 5.25 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in football.

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