Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Travis Etienne has run a route on 49.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Travis Etienne has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging a stellar 6.68 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Travis Etienne has been among the leading RBs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 10.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Travis Etienne has put up a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.
The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (73.4%) versus running backs this year (73.4%).
The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.