Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 51.1% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 3.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Travis Etienne has posted a mere -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has been among the worst possession receivers in football among RBs, catching a mere 72.9% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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