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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.2 plays per game.

The projections expect Travis Etienne to total 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Out of all running backs, Travis Etienne grades out in the 82nd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 55.0% of the workload in his team's run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Houston's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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