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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jaguars.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Jaguars have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.4 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to be a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack in this contest (31.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (42.3% in games he has played).

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