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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.82 seconds per snap, the model projects the Jaguars as the 10th-quickest in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.

The projections expect Travis Etienne to earn 18.7 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

After accounting for 51.6% of his offense's carries last year, Travis Etienne has had a larger role in the running game this year, now sitting at 64.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB C.J. Beathard.

The Jaguars rank as the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 34.5% run rate.

In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Jaguars grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's DE corps has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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