Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to earn 17.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (68.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (44.0% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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