Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to earn 16.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has received 54.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Jaguars have been the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 37.9% run rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

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