Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to accrue 16.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (65.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.6% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 28th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have been faced with a stacked the box on just 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

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