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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to earn 17.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (71.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.7% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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