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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to notch 12.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.9% run rate.

The Washington Commanders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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