My Account Log Out

reorder

Trace McSorley

Trace McSorley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Trace McSorley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends project as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Arizona Cardinals have gone no-huddle on 35.9% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line profiles as the worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.

More Trace McSorley Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™