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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to run on 46.2% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The model projects Tony Pollard to total 17.8 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Tony Pollard has earned 62.7% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Tony Pollard's running efficiency (3.89 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (25th percentile when it comes to running backs).

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