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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • In this contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by the model to finish in the 82nd percentile among RBs with 15.8 rush attempts.
  • Tony Pollard has grinded out 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (81st percentile).
  • Tony Pollard checks in as one of the top RBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a remarkable 3.54 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Titans have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 56.3 plays per game.
  • While Tony Pollard has garnered 64.1% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Tennessee's running game this week at 53.3%.
  • The Jacksonville defensive ends grade out as the 8th-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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