Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:46 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 17.3 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
After comprising 41.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Tony Pollard has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently sitting at 63.0%.
With a remarkable rate of 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Tony Pollard rates as one of the leading running backs in the league this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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