Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
In this game, Tony Pollard is expected by the projection model to finish in the 90th percentile among running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
After accounting for 41.6% of his team's rush attempts last season, Tony Pollard has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently comprising 61.0%.
Tony Pollard has picked up 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 39.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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