Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 45.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
The projections expect Tony Pollard to notch 17.5 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Tony Pollard's 2.70 yards-after-contact this year shows a remarkable reduction in his rushing talent over last year's 3.82 figure.

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