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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 17.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are a heavy favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 4th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This week, Tony Pollard is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 95th percentile among RBs with 17.9 carries.

Tony Pollard has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (62.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (41.6%).

Tony Pollard has grinded out 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 5.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.

The projections expect the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.38 seconds per snap.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

Tony Pollard's 2.62 yards-after-contact this year illustrates a significant regression in his rushing skills over last year's 3.82 rate.

The Giants defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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