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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Tony Pollard's rushing efficiency (5.17 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (83rd percentile among RBs).

Tony Pollard has been among the leading RBs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 4.43 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 100th percentile.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Tony Pollard has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, playing on 44.2% of snaps vs just 30.2% last season.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 101 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

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