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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
  • The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • Tony Pollard's running efficiency (4.76 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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