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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the best in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Tony Pollard's running efficiency (5.03 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (89th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 42.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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