Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys rank as the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Tony Pollard has received 43.1% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
Opposing squads have rushed for the least yards in the league (just 78 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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