Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Tony Pollard's ground efficiency (5.10 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (89th percentile among running backs).
Tony Pollard has been among the leading running backs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 3.54 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 91st percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing squads have run for the 5th-least yards in football (just 101 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.