Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-most run-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 44.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tony Pollard has been much more involved in his team's running game this year (44.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (33.9%).
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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