Tony Pollard Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 51.3% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to be a more important option in his team's running game near the goal line this week (60.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.4% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most touchdowns in football (1.43 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Favors Under

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