Tony Pollard Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+341/-654).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -651 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -654.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tony Pollard has rushed for 0.40 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (86th percentile).
Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most touchdowns in the league (1.00 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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