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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-750).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.

The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-least run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.2% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-least TDs in football (0.83 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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