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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+181/-262).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -224 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -262.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Tony Pollard has run for 0.55 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (87th percentile).

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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