Tony Pollard Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+181/-262).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -224 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -262.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Tony Pollard has run for 0.55 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (87th percentile).
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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