Tony Pollard Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-317).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +285 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
Tony Pollard has rushed for 0.67 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (94th percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most TDs in football (1.11 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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