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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

The projections expect Tony Pollard to notch 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Tony Pollard has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Tennessee Titans.

The projections expect the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

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