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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • With an impressive 58.1% Route% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 3.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Tony Pollard comes in as one of the leading pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

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