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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Tony Pollard has run a route on 58.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

In this game, Tony Pollard is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.

With an outstanding 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard has been among the best pass-catching running backs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The New York Jets pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) vs. running backs last year (76.8%).

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