My Account Log Out

reorder

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to accumulate 3.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Tony Pollard rates in the 97th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 20.9 mark this year.

With a terrific 3.0 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard places as one of the best pass-catching running backs in the league.

This year, the poor Commanders pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Titans grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Tony Pollard's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 83.5% to 76.0%.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™